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Friday Update · The $150 Thesis
HYPE at $61.40.
At $150, your share is $0.00581. That is +144% from right here. HYPE needs to move roughly 2.4x to reach $150. Because Rebel Dividends holds spot HYPE unleveraged 1:1, your share tracks it directly. From $0.00238 today to $0.00581 at the target, that is +144%. HYPE is up +1.7% today after pulling back mid-week alongside Bitcoin at $58,997. Both assets are repricing the same macro setup. Neither has fully caught up to where the fundamentals point. The forward page walks through the $150 scenario step by step. The foundation: Hyperliquid controls roughly 70% of all decentralized perpetual exchange volume, processing over $180 billion per month. Ninety-seven percent of protocol fees return directly to token holders. The buy-and-burn program has removed over $1.3 billion in HYPE from circulation since launch, roughly 4% of total supply. That is the revenue-generating infrastructure the scenario is built on. There is also optionality sitting quietly on top. Hyperliquid recently removed language about their points program ending from their documentation. The last time they ran an airdrop, HYPE went from $4 to $35 in 23 days. The 388 million HYPE in the community rewards wallet is untouched. Whether or not another airdrop comes, that supply is either a catalyst or a structural reinforcement. It does not disappear. Rebel Dividends holds spot HYPE, unleveraged, 1:1. Your share tracks the move directly, with no leverage amplifying the downside. And while the macro case plays out, the dividend compounds. Reinvestors who have put their weekly distributions back to work since the April 2024 pivot to an unleveraged spot HYPE strategy are up roughly 177%. The chart below shows that gap widening every week. What disrupts the scenario: a sustained macro reversal, regulatory action targeting decentralized derivatives, or competition that erodes Hyperliquid's fee base. None are imminent. The thesis holds until the data changes. Read the full scenario before the market prices it in for you. | |||||||||
| READ THE $150 HYPE SCENARIO → | |||||||||
| rebeldividends.com/forward/ | |||||||||
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Rebel Dividends Corporation · Jason Cox, Editor · dean@rebeldividends.com Important disclosures. All forward-looking statements, including every statement about PURR and HYPURR NFT, are illustrative scenarios and aspirations for discussion only. They are NOT guarantees, NOT commitments, NOT financial advice, and NOT an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security. HYPE could decline substantially. Performance figures reflect fund share price plus dividends per fund records and cover the period only since the April 2024 pivot to an unleveraged spot HYPE strategy. The fund experienced significant losses during a prior leveraged ETH strategy from 2022 to 2024. Past performance does not predict future results. Crypto is extremely volatile and can result in total loss of capital. A 20% management fee applies to all dividends. PURR and HYPURR allocations are small, spot-only, and early-stage. Consult your own financial, tax, and legal advisors before investing. rebeldividends.com |
